USD · high impact
Average Hourly Earnings m/m
Average Hourly Earnings month-over-month tracks the change in wages paid to U.S. workers, published monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics within the same employment report as Nonfarm Payrolls. Currency traders watch it as a gauge of wage inflation pressure, which can influence the Federal Reserve's outlook on overall price stability. It is released alongside the unemployment rate and payrolls figures each month.
What past releases show (16 releases)
When the actual came in below forecast
- US30: up 6 of 8 times in the first 15 min, average +40.5 pts
- EURUSD: up 6 of 8 times in the first 15 min, average +19.8 pips
- GBPUSD: up 5 of 8 times in the first 15 min, average +23.8 pips
- USDJPY: up 2 of 8 times in the first 15 min, average -24.1 pips
Past data, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Release history
| Date (GMT) | Actual | Forecast | Previous | US30 15m / 60m | EURUSD 15m / 60m | GBPUSD 15m / 60m | USDJPY 15m / 60m |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 12:30 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | +11.5 pts / -5.8 pts | +9.8 pips / +20.9 pips | +15.1 pips / +20.3 pips | -35.4 pips / -17.5 pips |
| 2026-09-04 12:30 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | -110 pts / -153 pts | -25.9 pips / -10.1 pips | -34.3 pips / -17.6 pips | +27.9 pips / -41.4 pips |
| 2026-08-07 12:30 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | +110 pts / -8.7 pts | +43.8 pips / +40.2 pips | +52.8 pips / +58.0 pips | -106 pips / -91.2 pips |
| 2026-07-02 12:30 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | +175 pts / +219 pts | +67.8 pips / +37.2 pips | +74.4 pips / +56.4 pips | -61.2 pips / -25.0 pips |
| 2026-06-05 12:30 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | +45.0 pts / +38.7 pts | -25.0 pips / -47.3 pips | -33.4 pips / -58.3 pips | +14.8 pips / +27.7 pips |
| 2026-05-08 12:30 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | +51.7 pts / +84.7 pts | +13.4 pips / +14.0 pips | +11.2 pips / +11.1 pips | -15.1 pips / -24.0 pips |
| 2026-04-03 12:30 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | -20.0 pts / — | -8.7 pips / -9.7 pips | -6.5 pips / -12.9 pips | +4.1 pips / +2.7 pips |
| 2026-03-06 13:30 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | -259 pts / +12.5 pts | +8.8 pips / +18.4 pips | +4.3 pips / +15.1 pips | -20.2 pips / -24.1 pips |
| 2026-02-11 13:30 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | -50.5 pts / -408 pts | -5.1 pips / -7.7 pips | +1.6 pips / -5.0 pips | -12.9 pips / -49.9 pips |
| 2026-01-09 13:30 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | +5.8 pts / +164 pts | -4.2 pips / -11.7 pips | -2.5 pips / -8.4 pips | +2.3 pips / +19.4 pips |
| 2025-12-16 13:30 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | -59.5 pts / -177 pts | +3.7 pips / -1.0 pips | -2.3 pips / -17.5 pips | -16.3 pips / -28.4 pips |
| 2025-11-20 12:30 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | +133 pts / +239 pts | +15.9 pips / +31.1 pips | +27.5 pips / +47.8 pips | -4.3 pips / +6.2 pips |
| 2025-09-05 12:30 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | +95.0 pts / +120 pts | +37.2 pips / +23.2 pips | +40.7 pips / +47.5 pips | -53.5 pips / -62.0 pips |
| 2025-08-01 12:30 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | +66.0 pts / -26.5 pts | +131 pips / +171 pips | +145 pips / +150 pips | -153 pips / -237 pips |
| 2025-07-03 12:30 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | +31.0 pts / +33.8 pts | -50.4 pips / -20.7 pips | -52.7 pips / -3.9 pips | +132 pips / +103 pips |
| 2025-06-06 12:30 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | +138 pts / +201 pts | -7.6 pips / -30.1 pips | -4.9 pips / -25.5 pips | +28.0 pips / +63.5 pips |