USD · high impact
Unemployment Rate
The U.S. Unemployment Rate measures the share of the labor force that is jobless and actively seeking work, published monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics as part of the broader employment report. It is a core gauge of labor market health that the Federal Reserve monitors closely when setting interest rate policy, making it a major driver of dollar volatility on release day. It is released alongside Nonfarm Payrolls each month.
What past releases show (16 releases)
When the actual came in above forecast
- US30: up 6 of 9 times in the first 15 min, average +13.3 pts
- EURUSD: up 6 of 9 times in the first 15 min, average +18.7 pips
- GBPUSD: up 6 of 9 times in the first 15 min, average +21.5 pips
- USDJPY: up 2 of 9 times in the first 15 min, average -28.0 pips
Past data, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Release history
| Date (GMT) | Actual | Forecast | Previous | US30 15m / 60m | EURUSD 15m / 60m | GBPUSD 15m / 60m | USDJPY 15m / 60m |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 12:30 | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | +11.5 pts / -5.8 pts | +9.8 pips / +20.9 pips | +15.1 pips / +20.3 pips | -35.4 pips / -17.5 pips |
| 2026-09-04 12:30 | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | -110 pts / -153 pts | -25.9 pips / -10.1 pips | -34.3 pips / -17.6 pips | +27.9 pips / -41.4 pips |
| 2026-08-07 12:30 | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | +110 pts / -8.7 pts | +43.8 pips / +40.2 pips | +52.8 pips / +58.0 pips | -106 pips / -91.2 pips |
| 2026-07-02 12:30 | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | +175 pts / +219 pts | +67.8 pips / +37.2 pips | +74.4 pips / +56.4 pips | -61.2 pips / -25.0 pips |
| 2026-06-05 12:30 | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | +45.0 pts / +38.7 pts | -25.0 pips / -47.3 pips | -33.4 pips / -58.3 pips | +14.8 pips / +27.7 pips |
| 2026-05-08 12:30 | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | +51.7 pts / +84.7 pts | +13.4 pips / +14.0 pips | +11.2 pips / +11.1 pips | -15.1 pips / -24.0 pips |
| 2026-04-03 12:30 | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | -20.0 pts / — | -8.7 pips / -9.7 pips | -6.5 pips / -12.9 pips | +4.1 pips / +2.7 pips |
| 2026-03-06 13:30 | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | -259 pts / +12.5 pts | +8.8 pips / +18.4 pips | +4.3 pips / +15.1 pips | -20.2 pips / -24.1 pips |
| 2026-02-11 13:30 | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | -50.5 pts / -408 pts | -5.1 pips / -7.7 pips | +1.6 pips / -5.0 pips | -12.9 pips / -49.9 pips |
| 2026-01-09 13:30 | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | +5.8 pts / +164 pts | -4.2 pips / -11.7 pips | -2.5 pips / -8.4 pips | +2.3 pips / +19.4 pips |
| 2025-12-16 13:30 | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | -59.5 pts / -177 pts | +3.7 pips / -1.0 pips | -2.3 pips / -17.5 pips | -16.3 pips / -28.4 pips |
| 2025-11-20 12:30 | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | +133 pts / +239 pts | +15.9 pips / +31.1 pips | +27.5 pips / +47.8 pips | -4.3 pips / +6.2 pips |
| 2025-09-05 12:30 | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | +95.0 pts / +120 pts | +37.2 pips / +23.2 pips | +40.7 pips / +47.5 pips | -53.5 pips / -62.0 pips |
| 2025-08-01 12:30 | 4.2% | 4% | 4.1% | +66.0 pts / -26.5 pts | +131 pips / +171 pips | +145 pips / +150 pips | -153 pips / -237 pips |
| 2025-07-03 12:30 | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | +31.0 pts / +33.8 pts | -50.4 pips / -20.7 pips | -52.7 pips / -3.9 pips | +132 pips / +103 pips |
| 2025-06-06 12:30 | 4.2% | 4% | 4.2% | +138 pts / +201 pts | -7.6 pips / -30.1 pips | -4.9 pips / -25.5 pips | +28.0 pips / +63.5 pips |